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Group of Northern Anchovies

Photo Credit: iStock.com | Gerald and Buff Corsi/Focus on Nature

Northern anchovy close up

Photo Credit: Aquarium of the Pacific | Andrew Reitsma

Primary ThreatsPrimary Threats Conditions

Threats and Conservation Status

In recent years the California anchovy population has been increasing at a rate of 86% per year, as is evident in the graph of their populations from 2015 onward. However, this recent increase in anchovies has to be viewed in the context of a long history of boom-and-bust population dynamics as is evident in the graph of biomass from 1950 up through 2022.

Anchovy population dynamics are influenced by interactions with dozens of species, by upwelling, by cycles in ocean conditions, and by variable harvest. Climate change has the capacity to alter all of these relationships—which adds additional uncertainty. Even with over seventy years of population data, we lack the ability to model and predict anchovy population fluctuations. Given this complexity, some biologists have suggested the species would be best managed via a fixed two-state harvest control rule. The key idea here is that when the population is in a “high abundance state” commercial fishing could be allowed, and when the population is in a “low abundance state,” only experimental fisheries would be allowed.

Currently there is no immediate overharvesting threat to Northern anchovies and hence no need for active management. This situation exists because of limited market and no processing capacity for these fish in California. In lieu of active management, Northern anchovy is in the monitored category, with some debate about how frequently stock assessments should be performed for the species. While in the monitored category the default regulation is that catch limits are set to 25,000 metric tons, but catch has not approached that limit in any years of monitoring.

Population Plots

Data Source: The Northern anchovy assessment is of the central subpopulation. The assumed distribution is from about San Francisco Bay down to central Baja California. See Table 12 (page 34) of the assessment document https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/45013

References